As everybody has already heard, the Federal Reserve’s Dot Plot changed a great deal, to now expecting .75% in cuts in 2024. The market or the Federal Funds futures are now expecting 1.5% in cuts in 2024.
Read BlogThe bull case for the market is the economy on a nominal basis will grow at roughly 5%, with 2% coming from real GDP growth and 3% coming from inflation, allowing earnings to grow at over 10% for the next two years.
Read BlogThe rotation that we discussed last week of the technology sector slowing or declining and money moving into quality Blue Chip and smaller companies, rather than just the mega-cap technology stocks, appears to have started.
Read BlogThe market is experiencing a seasonal rally, which we believe there still is some upside potential. The market is convinced the Federal Reserve has finished raising rates, we would agree.
Read BlogWe spoke to a couple of trading desks on Monday, and the tone was very positive. The smaller institutional investors now have a more positive view of the markets and are buying the smaller beaten-up stocks.
Read BlogThe inflation data cooling is key for the bond market, and therefore, the stock market. Our main concern has been centered around energy costs (also money printing), which has been moderating.
Read BlogAs you may recall we announced we purchased TLT for our clients, two weeks ago. First, we made that bold call because the 10-Year Treasury was enormously shorted
Read BlogThe Federal reserve meets this week and will likely announce on Wednesday that they are going to leave rates unchanged, but two hours before is the even more important Treasury Refunding announcement..
Read BlogThe S&P 500 is off about -11% from the high of early 2022. So, the question, where are we in the market cycle, we are late cycle, prior to entering a recession. The timing is uncertain...
Read BlogSometimes the market just wants to go up, seasonally it is that time. On the technicals, the market is rebounding from an oversold condition where it declined 8% from a recent high and now is down 5%
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