Last week, the Federal Reserve raised rates by .25% to 1.25% and expects to raise rates again by year end to 1.5%. The current inflation rate in the U.S. for the last 12 months is 1.9%. Monetary policy is still very accommodative with a real interest rate of -.65%. Please click the link below to…
Read BlogAccording to the Commerce Department report yesterday, May’s retail sales numbers were low-grade, dropping by 0.3% in May. Core CPI advanced just 0.1% in May verses +0.2% expected. Core CPI has now declined for a fourth straight month. Please click the link below to continue reading: PVG Bond Market June 15
Read BlogWe have been writing about how the technology sector of the market had gotten very overvalued, similar to other bubble periods like 2000, and 2007, when the economy had also slowed and the only area of growth was technology late in an economic cycle. Please click the link below to continue reading: Market in a…
Read BlogIn this monthly update, we thought we would peel the layers of the onion back and examine what we invest in and how it has performed. We have two main tranches in our strategy, a blue-chip tranche and an income tranche, but we also have a hedge. Of course, at this point in the market…
Read BlogTreasury yields, as measured by the 10-year Treasury, were steady in the past week at 2.25% through June 1st. This is well below the 2.42% yield set on May 9th. Yields have collapsed from 2.62% on December 15th of last year. This is no surprise to our team as we thought rates would peak around…
Read BlogThis year has been a tail of two markets. Technology stocks have been very strong, up 21% year to date, but on the other hand, Energy is down-14% and Telecommunications down -9.6%. The Russell 1000 Growth is up 16%, while the value stocks, as measured by the Russell 1000 Value, is up only 3.9% and…
Read BlogWhen you live through a bear market and you care about your money, like me, that is something you never want to experience again. Fortunately, we have been very successful in managing through bear markets. The duration of both bull and bear markets has been lasting longer in the most recent market cycles. Please click…
Read BlogOn Thursday of this week OPEC meets, and with oil above $50 per barrel and at a one month high, the market is expecting the cartel to extend the six-month agreement to cut production by 1.8 million barrels a day. Venezuela is obviously in distress and its production has fallen significantly. Please click the link…
Read BlogWe are finding a lot of very attractive securities in the value area of the market. What we mean as a value stock is one that has a high dividend yield, low price to book ratio and or a low price to earnings ratio relative to the market. Please click the link below to continue…
Read BlogThe Federal Reserve met last week for their standard meeting every 6 weeks to discuss monetary policy. The conclusion by the market is the Fed will raise rates again in June. The Fed is not raising rates because the economy is strong, instead they are raising rates for future periods when they will need to…
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