PVG Market In A Minute January 13, 2026

Patrick Adams, CFA

January 13, 2026

Moving into 2026, the U.S. market is transitioning into a phase described as "A Year of Acceleration" following a period of significant structural change. Growth is supported by a robust foundation of fiscal policies including lower taxes, incentives for domestic production, and a move toward deregulation in emerging sectors like AI and cryptocurrency. Current projections anticipate a resilient economy, with the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model estimating real GDP growth as high as 5.1% for the final quarter of 2025. While the S&P 500 has recently achieved its third consecutive year of double-digit gains, experts believe that earnings growth will continue to drive further appreciation, even as valuations remain high.

The monetary outlook remains a critical factor, with expectations that moderating inflation will allow the Federal Reserve to continue cutting interest rates throughout the year. Although tariff impacts were a primary concern in 2025, their effects appear to have stabilized, allowing downward pressure from declining energy and housing costs to influence upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) reports. While some sectors of the market have been heavily concentrated in technology, there is an increasing shift toward value in other attractively priced sectors that have previously underperformed. Investors are advised to monitor risk closely as high valuations persist, though the emergence of negative inflation prints could provide a "double-barrel blast" of bullish momentum for the broader market.

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